Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

THE FORECAST

Ajax enter this Eredivisie derby as clear favourites: they have won their last three league matches, average 2.9 goals per game, and despite a long injury list their squad depth (reinforced by Bissouma and Ter Stegen) remains superior to AZ's. AZ arrive in poor form — losing 0-2 to Twente last time out, with coach Echteld under pressure and Weidmann suspended, while their injury list is also significant and rotation is expected ahead of their Europa League fixture. Both sides have six days' rest and face European action five days later, creating similar rotation incentives, but Ajax's home advantage at the Johan Cruyff Arena and the tactical reshuffle signalled by Míchel should give them the edge in what should be a moderately open match.