The scoreboard
Our model against the betting market, match by match. When we're right, you see it. When we're wrong, you see that too.
Visitors: 155 matches with votes before kickoff (210 votes).
Right now the market is ahead. Bookmakers see more than we do. We put both numbers side by side so you can judge for yourself, and we update the scoreboard after every round.
Our model on all 883 matches, including those without market odds: 53.2% correct, Brier score 0.575.
Last rounds · correct picks
Who is "the market"? The average of what up to 12 bookmakers expect, with their margin removed. See which bookmakers
By competition · correct picks
Share of matches where the pick was right, on matches with market odds. Green marks who is ahead in that competition. Fewer than 10 matches says little yet.
Who is "the market"?
The market is the collective view of bookmakers. For every match we take the win, draw and away odds from the bookmakers listed below, average them, and convert them to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. The result is what the betting market expects, and we show it next to our own forecast so you can see where we agree and where we don't.
We use up to 12 bookmakers per match, depending on which of them offer odds for it:
- Bet365
- Unibet
- Bwin
- 1xBet
- Interwetten
- Betfair
- William Hill
- Ladbrokes
- Betsson
- Betano
- BetVictor
- Tipico
FC Kickoff does not take bets and none of this is betting advice.