Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

THE FORECAST

Ajax's significantly higher scoring rate (3.0 goals per game) and home advantage make them clear favourites despite a lengthy injury list, with Arokodare expected to deputise for Dolberg up front. NEC arrive with a weaker record (0 clean sheets, 1.9 goals conceded per game) and an even more depleted squad, with Schreuder only gaining full clarity on selection the day before the match. Both sides have ample rest (20+ days) and face a European fixture five days later, reducing rotation concerns for this league match, though the rainy and windy conditions (18.5mm precipitation, 30km/h wind) could suppress the scoring tempo slightly.