Alavés vs Atlético Madrid prediction

THE FORECAST

Atletico Madrid are the clear class act here, sitting 2nd with superior attacking (2.3 gf) and defensive (1.0 ga) numbers and strong recent form (WWWLW), though their injury list is extensive and rotation risk is elevated given a Champions League fixture just three days after this match. Alaves carry notable absences of their own and lost key outgoing transfers, but benefit from six weeks of rest and home advantage, keeping this from being a runaway pick. The tight defensive profiles of both sides (Atletico 3 clean sheets, Alaves 3 clean sheets) and Atletico's likely squad management point toward a low-scoring away win.