Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction

THE FORECAST

Frosinone arrive in far better shape, sitting 6th with 13 points and a strong recent form run of WLWDW, while Atalanta are 11th with just 9 points and four losses in their last five under a Sarri side under serious pressure. Atalanta are heavily depleted by injury — losing key players including Hien, Scalvini, Kolasinac, Kossounou, Kessie and Raspadori — and face fixture congestion having played a Conference League match just three days ago, raising real rotation risk. Frosinone's superior attacking and defensive numbers (1.9 gf, 1.3 ga vs Atalanta's 1.4 gf, 1.6 ga) combined with 9 days of rest and the momentum of a 4-2 win over Sassuolo make them the value pick on the road.