AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

THE FORECAST

AZ sit second with a superior attacking return (2.2 gf) and home advantage, but carry a heavy injury list including Clasie, Parrott and Kasius, and have only three days' rest after their Europa League win over Ararat-Armenia, raising rotation risk. Twente arrive in strong form (four wins from last five including a result at PSV) but are equally fatigued on three days' rest from Conference League action, and their own absentee list is notable with Hilgers, Hlynsson and Unnerstall missing. The windy, wet conditions (46 km/h wind, 11mm rain) will likely disrupt both sides' build-up play and keep the game tight, but AZ's home record and slightly higher quality edge them to a narrow victory.