Belgium vs Italy prediction

Nations League · 2026-11-15 20:45 CET
Belgium BelgiumFIFA #8
vs
ItalyFIFA #15 Italy
45%Belgium
25%Draw
30%Italy

THE FORECAST

Belgium hold a 7-place FIFA ranking advantage over Italy and their strong home record (68% wins) supports them as favourites, though Italy's impressive away win rate (56%) keeps this competitive. Both sides show identical defensive averages (1.3 GA) and Italy's slightly better attacking output (2.0 vs 1.5 GF) balances the equation, pointing toward a low-scoring, tight contest. With both teams having had identical 41-day rest periods and no injury or suspension concerns, this figures to be an evenly contested match with Belgium holding a modest home edge.

1-0Expected score
43% - 26% - 31%Market
2Bookmakers compared
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