Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction

THE FORECAST

Brentford hold a clear positional and form advantage at home, averaging 1.8 goals scored against Forest's leaky 1.3 conceded per game, and while Brentford carry a heavy injury list and only 3 days' rest after a League Cup fixture, the opponent's comparable absentee problems (Gibbs-White, Milenkovic, Sangare among others) and poor recent run (three straight losses before their last win) tip the balance towards the hosts. Forest's attacking output of just 0.8 goals per game is the lowest in this dataset, making it hard to see them threatening significantly at the Gtech Community Stadium. Mild, dry conditions suit both sides equally, and Brentford's home crowd should prove a decisive factor.