FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction

THE FORECAST

Hajduk Split hold a clear UEFA ranking advantage (#198 vs #237) and lead the Conference League standings with 3 points after a win, while Thun are bottom with zero points and a loss. Both sides face tight fixture congestion — Hajduk must play their HNL match just two days after this game, raising rotation risk, which narrows the gap somewhat and explains a competitive draw probability. Cold conditions (3–12°C) are unlikely to significantly disadvantage either side, but Thun's poor goal-scoring record (0.0 GF) versus Hajduk's attacking output (3.2 GF) tips the balance firmly toward the Croatian visitors.