Iceland vs Bulgaria prediction

Nations League · 2026-10-03 18:00 CEST
Iceland IcelandFIFA #75
vs
BulgariaFIFA #89 Bulgaria
52%Iceland
27%Draw
21%Bulgaria

THE FORECAST

Iceland lead their group unbeaten with superior attacking and defensive stats (2.0 gf, 0.5 ga) versus Bulgaria's modest numbers, and the ranking gap of 14 places supports the home side as clear favourites. Bulgaria are significantly weakened by the mid-week resignation of manager Dimitrov and the absence of key attacker Despodov, disrupting their preparation and cohesion. Cool, windy Reykjavik conditions suit Iceland's physical style, while both sides face equal fixture load, giving neither a rest advantage.

1-0Expected score
67% - 21% - 12%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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