Latvia vs Montenegro prediction

THE FORECAST

Montenegro sit top of the group with two wins from two and average 2.5 goals scored per game, while Latvia have managed zero goals in this Nations League campaign and rank 59 places below their opponents in the FIFA rankings, a gap that strongly favours the visitors. Latvia's historical home record is poor (25% win rate) and Montenegro's away form is solid (28% away wins, and historically they actually win more than they lose on the road), reinforcing Montenegro as clear favourites. Conditions (mild, dry, light wind) suit both sides equally and the symmetrical fixture load means no rotation advantage for either team, so the quality gap should be the decisive factor.