Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction

Ligue 1 · 2026-10-16 20:45 CEST
38%Le Mans
30%Draw
32%Toulouse

THE FORECAST

Both sides sit level on 6 points in positions 14th and 15th, sharing near-identical form and underlying stats, making this an evenly contested mid-table Ligue 1 derby with home advantage tilting Le Mans fractionally ahead. Le Mans carry a heavy injury list (13 absentees) which partially offsets their home edge, while Toulouse also have notable absences and Askou is still searching for his first away win as manager. Neither team has kept a clean sheet all season and both defences are leaky, though the moderate weather and low-intensity tactical context point to a tight, low-scoring affair with the draw as a strong possibility.

1-0Expected score
32% - 27% - 41%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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