Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad prediction

Europa League · 2026-10-22 21:00 CEST
14%Lillestrøm
18%Draw
68%Real Sociedad

THE FORECAST

Real Sociedad hold a massive UEFA club ranking advantage (42nd vs 209th), making them heavy favourites despite both sides sitting on identical early Europa League records of one point. Both teams face the same fixture congestion with four days' rest and another match in three days, so rotation risk is roughly equal and does not significantly shift the balance. Lillestrom's Norwegian top-flight background represents a considerable step down in quality, and Real Sociedad's superior individual quality and European experience should be enough to secure an away win, albeit in a potentially tight, low-scoring affair.

0-1Expected score
17% - 22% - 61%Market
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