Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt prediction

THE FORECAST

Napoli's UEFA ranking advantage (25 vs 32) and home factor favour them, and the expected presence of De Bruyne and Højlund gives them genuine attacking quality despite a heavily depleted squad, though Allegri's woeful recent Champions League record (1 win in last 9) tempers confidence significantly. Bodo/Glimt arrive in decent form — four straight wins including a 1-0 result over Dortmund — and have six consecutive European home victories, though this is an away fixture that breaks that streak. Both sides face identical fixture congestion (3 days rest, 4 days until next match), so rotation risk is broadly equal, but Napoli's injury list is more damaging given the sheer number of key absences, keeping this closer than the ranking gap suggests.