Netherlands vs Serbia prediction

Nations League · 2026-10-04 20:45 CEST
Netherlands NetherlandsFIFA #9
vs
SerbiaFIFA #41 Serbia
59%Netherlands
22%Draw
19%Serbia

THE FORECAST

Netherlands hold a commanding 32-place FIFA ranking advantage and are the stronger side on paper, with Xavi's Oranje sitting second in the group with 5 points while Serbia are bottom with zero points and three consecutive defeats. The Dutch home record of 72% wins in competitive matches, combined with Serbia's poor away record (only 29% wins on the road) and a significantly worse goals-against average of 2.0 per game, firmly tips the balance toward a home victory. Both sides have equal rest (3 days) so no rotation edge applies, and the mild weather conditions are neutral for both teams.

2-1Expected score
81% - 13% - 6%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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