North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction

Nations League · 2026-11-16 20:45 CET
North Macedonia North MacedoniaFIFA #70
vs
SloveniaFIFA #55 Slovenia
32%North Macedonia
26%Draw
42%Slovenia

THE FORECAST

Slovenia hold a 15-place FIFA ranking advantage and lead their Nations League group with 7 points, while North Macedonia sit bottom with zero points and a poor defensive record of 2.5 goals conceded per game. Historical records show Slovenia win 28% away but Macedonia's home form (43% wins) and Slovenia's away struggles (46% losses) keep this competitive, though Slovenia's superior quality and form ultimately make them the slight favourite. Both sides had identical rest periods, so no rotation edge applies, and Slovenia's two clean sheets this campaign suggest they can keep Macedonia's toothless attack quiet.

0-1Expected score
16% - 24% - 60%Market
2Bookmakers compared
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