Sweden vs Poland prediction

Nations League · 2026-09-28 20:45 CEST
Sweden SwedenFIFA #35
vs
PolandFIFA #37 Poland
40%Sweden
30%Draw
30%Poland

THE FORECAST

Sweden hold a narrow ranking edge (#35 vs #37) and lead their group with a win in their opener, boosted by the potent Isak-Gyökeres partnership that fired against Romania. Potter's cautious approach with near-identical lineups suggests a settled, confident squad, while Poland are still adjusting after Grosicki's retirement and managed only a draw in their first game with zero goals scored. Both sides face identical fixture congestion with 3 days' rest on each side, so rotation risk is symmetric, but Sweden's superior form and attacking momentum at home give them a slight edge in what should be a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.

1-0Expected score
48% - 26% - 26%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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