Türkiye vs Italy prediction

Nations League · 2026-09-28 20:45 CEST
Türkiye TürkiyeFIFA #29
vs
ItalyFIFA #15 Italy
36%Türkiye
33%Draw
31%Italy

THE FORECAST

Italy, ranked 14 places above Turkey (#15 vs #29), are the clearer side on paper despite both teams entering this match after opening defeats. Both sides have identical rest schedules (3 days since last game, next in 4 days), so fixture load is neutral, and no injury or suspension concerns beyond Turkey's goalkeeper change with Bayindir stepping in for the red-carded Cakir. Italy's 0-2 loss to Belgium at home will sharpen Mancini's focus and likely prompt a tactical response including Frattesi's recall, while Turkey's lack of cutting edge (0 goals in their opener against France) remains a concern against a more structured Italian defensive setup.

2-1Expected score
36% - 27% - 37%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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