Ukraine vs Hungary prediction

Nations League · 2026-10-05 20:45 CEST
Ukraine UkraineFIFA #33
vs
HungaryFIFA #40 Hungary
42%Ukraine
27%Draw
31%Hungary

THE FORECAST

Ukraine hold a FIFA ranking advantage (#33 vs #40) and their historical home record (55% wins) supports favouring them, though the match is played at a neutral venue in Trnava which partially offsets that edge. Both sides are extremely low-scoring in this Nations League campaign (0.3 goals per game each, two clean sheets apiece), pointing strongly to an under 2.5 outcome and a tight, defensive contest. Hungary's recent momentum from beating Georgia and their solid away record (39% wins) keeps this competitive, but Ukraine's ranking superiority and Hungary's narrow form edge cancel out, leaving Ukraine as slim favourites.

1-0Expected score
39% - 29% - 32%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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