Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction

Europa League · 2026-10-15 18:45 CEST
42%Union Saint-Gilloise
28%Draw
30%Real Sociedad

THE FORECAST

Union are the marginally higher-ranked side (UEFA #38 vs #42) and hold a clear advantage in form and EL standings (3 pts, clean sheet, 3 goals scored vs 0 pts, 1 goal scored for Real Sociedad), making them slight favourites at home. Both sides face identical fixture congestion (4 days rest, next game in 3 days), so rotation risk is broadly equal, though Union's lengthy injury list somewhat tempers their edge. Real Sociedad's own absences at the back (Aramburu, Odriozola, Zubeldia) are significant and should allow Union to find openings, supporting a narrow home win.

1-0Expected score
40% - 26% - 34%Market
6Bookmakers compared
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