AEK Athens FC 2 – 3 Real Madrid: result and prediction

Champions League · · Allwyn Arena
2 – 3
Full time

Match events

1st half1-1
12'Goal1-0A. Koita (L. Jovic)
J. Bellingham (M. Cucurella)1-1Goal32'
34'K. Arriaga (Dissent)
2nd half1-2
53'A. António Cabaça Salvador L. Majer
60'R. Marin M. Gaćinović
60'B. Varga K. Kairinen
M. Cucurella (Foul)65'
F. Valverde Y. Diomande67'
E. Felipe Moreira de Sousa B. Silva67'
75'Goal2-1S. Pilios (A. Koita)
K. Mbappé (D. Dumfries)2-2Goal78'
B. Díaz M. Cucurella81'
Á. Fernández Carreras Vinícius81'
C. Espí J. Bellingham86'
88'O. Zubkov L. Jovic
F. Valverde (B. Díaz)2-3Goal90+2'
90+5'A. Koita (Abusive Language)

Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Match statistics

30%Possession70%
0.95Expected goals (xG)3.4
9Shots24
5Shots on target8
2Shots off target9
2Blocked shots7
6Shots inside the box17
3Shots outside the box7
0Corners7
0Offsides2
5Saves3
274Passes629
233Accurate passes580
9Fouls16
16Free kicks9
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
AEK Athens FC · 4-4-2 · avg 6.5Real Madrid · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.9
AEK Athens FC
916.9
91 Brignoli
126.0
12 Rota
26.3
2 Moukoudi
446.6
44 Relvas
36.9
3 Pilios
Goal
117.5
11 Koita
Goal
166.4
16 Arriaga
65.8
6 Kairinen
▼60'
146.8
14 Majer
▼53'
97.2
9 Jović
▼88'
86.7
8 Gaćinović
▼60'
Real Madrid
16.2
1 Courtois
247.3
24 Dumfries
36.9
3 Militão
226.7
22 Rüdiger
176.6
17 Cucurella
▼81'
206.7
20 Silva
▼67'
67.0
6 Camavinga
256.4
25 Diomande
▼67'
58.2
5 Bellingham
Goal▼86'
76.4
7 Júnior
▼81'
108.2
10 Mbappé
Goal
AEK Athens FC
Substitutes
4141Marios Balamotis
2222C. Lykogiannis
2020P. Mantalos
1818R. Marin ▲60'for ▼ M. Gaćinović5.9
11T. Strakosha
1919B. Varga ▲60'for ▼ K. Kairinen6.3
2121D. Vida
2727M. Vitális
9090Zini ▲53'for ▼ L. Majer6.7
1010O. Zubkov ▲88'for ▼ L. Jovic5.8
Coach: M. Nikolić
Real Madrid
Substitutes
1818Álvaro Fernández ▲81'for ▼ Vinícius6.0
99Endrick ▲67'for ▼ B. Silva6.9
1919Carlos Espí ▲86'for ▼ J. Bellingham6.5
44D. Huijsen
1616I. Konaté
1313A. Lunin
3838Sergio Martínez
2626Sergio Mestre
2727Thiago Pitarch
88F. Valverde ▲67'Goalfor ▼ Y. Diomande7.9
1212T. Alexander-Arnold
2121Brahim Díaz ▲81'for ▼ M. Cucurella6.2
Coach: José Mourinho

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
11A. KoitaMidfielder 7.5 901131 1817 1410/223/1100
9L. JovićForward 7.2 880111 1716 205/112/210
3S. PiliosDefender 6.9 901011 2521 101/30/100
91A. BrignoliGoalkeeper 6.9 900000 2721 000/00/005
14L. MajerMidfielder 6.8 530000 1211 234/81/300
90ZiniForward 6.7 370000 106 148/111/100
8M. GaćinovićForward 6.7 600011 1410 119/142/400
44F. RelvasDefender 6.6 900000 3230 001/20/000
16K. ArriagaMidfielder 6.4 900000 3029 005/100/130
2H. MoukoudiDefender 6.3 900011 3129 011/10/000
19B. VargaForward 6.3 300000 116 005/90/010
12L. RotaDefender 6.0 900000 2418 045/100/230
18R. MarinMidfielder 5.9 300020 1210 000/00/000
6K. KairinenMidfielder 5.8 600000 1110 000/40/010
10O. ZubkovMidfielder 5.8 20000 10 000/00/000

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

8%
AEK Athens FC
12%
Draw
80%
Real Madrid
Prediction: correct

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

9%
AEK Athens FC
14%
Draw
77%
Real Madrid

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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