Arouca 1 – 0 Estrela: result and prediction

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca
1 – 0
Full time

Match events

1st half1-0
5'Goal1-0I. Barbero (N. Djouahra)
I. Stoica (penalty missed)45+4'
45+6'P. Gozálbez (Foul)
45+8'I. Barbero (Not Retreating)
A. Marcus (Argument)45+8'
2nd half0-0
M. Scholze (Foul)50'
57'P. Santos P. Gozálbez
B. Souza I. Stoica61'
J. Encada M. Scholze62'
62'P. Santos (Foul)
65'D. Nandín I. Barbero
65'G. Rukavina N. Djouahra
79'L. Hyun-ju T. Fukui
80'B. Mansilla A. Trezza
81'T. Fukui
E. Vanga E. Doué82'
88'J. Fontán (Time Wasting)
A. Souza L. Zvonarek90+1'
K. Hoog Jansson S. Serra90+1'

Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe

Match statistics

37%Possession63%
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.48
7Shots11
3Shots on target2
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box6
2Shots outside the box5
5Corners6
2Offsides3
2Saves2
344Passes579
264Accurate passes505
10Fouls7
6Free kicks9
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Arouca · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.8Estrela · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.4
Arouca
126.7
12 de Arruabarrena
286.5
28 Esgaio
157.5
15 Sánchez
37.2
3 Fontán
186.4
18 Lebedenko
66.3
6 van Ee
86.8
8 Fukui
▼79'
196.6
19 Trezza
▼80'
107.0
10 Gozálbez
▼57'
77.7
7 Djouahra
▼65'
177.5
17 Barbero
Goal▼65'
Estrela
246.5
24 Linck
216.1
21 Scholze
▼62'
307.2
30 Luan
56.9
5 Leković
556.0
55 Soares
786.8
78 Serra
▼90+1'
396.6
39 Doue
▼82'
995.9
99 Marcus
146.7
14 Zvonarek
▼90+1'
106.2
10 Stoica
▼61'
376.3
37 Antonetti
Arouca
Substitutes
2121Mateo Flores
3737Mario Climent
1414Lee Hyun-Ju ▲79'for ▼ T. Fukui6.8
2424B. Mansilla ▲80'for ▼ A. Trezza6.6
99F. Mayulu
44Diogo Monteiro
2323D. Nandín ▲65'for ▼ I. Barbero6.4
8989Pedro Santos ▲57'for ▼ P. Gozálbez6.7
55B. Popović
2020G. Rukavina ▲65'for ▼ N. Djouahra6.9
22L. Shahar
11J. Vinarčík
Coach: Vítor Severino
Estrela
Substitutes
44Bernardo Schappo
7979A. Chernev
1717Jefferson Encada ▲62'for ▼ M. Scholze6.4
66K. Höög Jansson ▲90+1'for ▼ S. Serra
33L. Mincarelli Davin
4949R. Muteba
2828T. Moustier
7171E. Pedro Vanga ▲82'for ▼ E. Doué6.3
5151Diogo Pinto
9393B. Souza ▲61'for ▼ I. Stoica6.2
8080Alisson ▲90+1'for ▼ L. Zvonarek
7272H. Poniewas
Coach: Pepa

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
7N. DjouahraMidfielder 7.7 650110 2420 124/52/200
15J. SánchezDefender 7.5 900000 4540 001/20/010
17BarberoForward 7.5 651011 97 000/40/010
3J. FontánDefender 7.2 900000 5648 113/40/000
10P. GozálbezMidfielder 7.0 570000 148 035/100/130
20G. RukavinaForward 6.9 250000 55 200/30/000
14L. Hyun-JuMidfielder 6.8 110000 32 000/00/000
8T. FukuiMidfielder 6.8 790000 2419 114/70/110
89P. SantosMidfielder 6.7 330000 1412 034/50/010
12I. de ArruabarrenaGoalkeeper 6.7 900000 4128 001/20/002
24B. MansillaForward 6.6 100010 21 022/20/000
19A. TrezzaMidfielder 6.6 800020 84 033/70/100
28T. EsgaioDefender 6.5 900011 2817 025/81/110
18O. LebedenkoDefender 6.4 900000 2213 111/40/000
23D. NandínForward 6.4 250011 74 001/61/110
6E. van EeMidfielder 6.3 900000 4236 023/70/010

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

42%
Arouca
28%
Draw
30%
Estrela
Prediction: correct

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

46%
Arouca
27%
Draw
26%
Estrela

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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