Bulgaria 0 – 5 Iceland: result and prediction

Nations League · · Hristo Botev Stadium
Bulgaria BulgariaFIFA #89
0 – 5
Full time
IcelandFIFA #75 Iceland

Match events

1st half0-2
H. Magnússon S. Teitur Thórdarson9'
A. Guðjohnsen (penalty)0-1Goal17'
O. Steinn Óskarsson (H. Magnússon)0-2Goal21'
A. Sigurðsson K. Mani Ingason29'
H. Magnússon (Foul)39'
B. Darri Willumsson O. Steinn Óskarsson45'
45'M. Plamenov·Petkov K. Balov
45+4'K. Balov (Foul)
2nd half0-3
E. Tsenov (own goal)0-3Goal52'
55'A. Kraev (Foul)
62'I. Čočev G. Rusev
63'G. Antoanov Lazarov A. Iliev
H. Arnar Haraldsson (Foul)66'
A. Guðjohnsen (H. Arnar Haraldsson)0-4Goal68'
G. Sigurðsson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson71'
A. Gunnarsson D. Leo Gretarsson72'
A. Guðjohnsen0-5Goal79'
85'I. Pankov I. Gruev
85'D. Velkovski L. Petkov

Referee: Florian Badstubner

Match statistics

52%Possession48%
1.01Expected goals (xG)2.95
9Shots16
2Shots on target7
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box12
4Shots outside the box4
4Corners1
2Offsides1
3Saves2
546Passes506
460Accurate passes425
11Fouls12
12Free kicks11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Bulgaria · 4-2-3-1 · avg 5.9Iceland · 4-4-2 · avg 7.1
Bulgaria
15.8
1 Naumov
225.3
22 Stoyanov
135.6
13 Velkov
35.0
3 Tsenov
Goal
65.9
6 Petrov
86.5
8 Kraev
46.5
4 Gruev
▼85'
206.3
20 Petkov
▼85'
116.2
11 Rusev
▼62'
75.4
7 Balov
▼45'
96.1
9 Iliev
▼63'
Iceland
126.9
12 Valdimarsson
47.4
4 Pálsson
166.5
16 Þórðarson
▼9'
37.2
3 Grétarsson
▼72'
26.6
2 Tómasson
197.1
19 Ellertsson
77.7
7 Haraldsson
86.7
8 Bergmann Jóhannesson
▼71'
156.5
15 Ingason
▼29'
229.4
22 Guðjohnsen
GoalGoalGoal
98.0
9 Óskarsson
Goal▼45'
Bulgaria
Substitutes
1616M. Petkov ▲45'for ▼ K. Balov6.9
1212A. Bozhev
1515Georgi Antoanov Lazarov ▲63'for ▼ A. Iliev
55I. Pankov ▲85'for ▼ I. Gruev5.7
1919I. Turitsov
1818I. Chochev ▲62'for ▼ G. Rusev5.9
22R. Bozhinov
2323P. Andreev
1010A. Chandarov
1717S. Kovachev
1414T. Ivanov
2121D. Velkovski ▲85'for ▼ L. Petkov5.5
Coach: A. Ribarski
Iceland
Substitutes
1717A. Gunnarsson ▲72'for ▼ D. Leo Gretarsson6.8
66Þ. Helgason
2020K. Hlynsson
2323H. Magnússon ▲9'for ▼ S. Teitur Thórdarson6.6
11R. Rúnarsson
2121A. Sigurðsson ▲29'for ▼ K. Mani Ingason6.8
1010G. Sigurðsson ▲71'for ▼ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson7.0
1111J. Þorsteinsson
55Í. Þorvaldsson
1414B. Willumsson ▲45'for ▼ O. Steinn Óskarsson7.0
1818M. Anderson
1313A. Einarsson
Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
16M. PetkovForward 6.9 450000 1919 113/60/100
4I. GruevMidfielder 6.5 850010 6459 034/41/100
8A. KraevMidfielder 6.5 900000 6458 223/140/150
NoneG. Antoanov Lazarov 6.3 270010 85 002/40/000
20L. PetkovMidfielder 6.3 850000 3429 102/80/300
11G. RusevMidfielder 6.2 620020 3531 104/110/300
9A. IlievForward 6.1 630031 1310 102/50/000
6H. PetrovDefender 5.9 900000 6259 013/51/110
18I. ChochevMidfielder 5.9 280020 85 000/10/000
1D. NaumovGoalkeeper 5.8 900000 3015 000/00/003
5I. PankovMidfielder 5.7 50000 42 000/30/110
13S. VelkovDefender 5.6 900000 7058 101/30/010
21D. VelkovskiDefender 5.5 50000 55 000/00/000
7K. BalovMidfielder 5.4 450000 107 002/90/120
22Y. StoyanovDefender 5.3 900000 4633 146/112/410
3E. TsenovDefender 5.0 900000 7465 016/90/000

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

30%
Bulgaria
25%
Draw
45%
Iceland
Prediction: correct

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

22%
Bulgaria
27%
Draw
51%
Iceland

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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