Chelsea 4 – 3 Brighton: result and prediction

Premier League · · Stamford Bridge
4 – 3
Full time

Match events

1st half3-1
4'Goal1-0R. Lavia
14'Goal2-0P. Neto (M. Rogers)
32'Goal3-0J. Pedro (J. Hato)
M. Yalcouye3-1Goal35'
2nd half1-2
55'W. Fofana (Foul)
J. Pedro (own goal)3-2Goal63'
68'R. James R. Lavia
68'J. Acheampong W. Fofana
68'M. Caicedo P. Neto
L. Dunk (Foul)70'
72'P. Chavarria L. Colwill
I. Osman M. Yalcouye74'
74'Goal4-2C. Palmer (J. Pedro)
Costinha M. Wieffer80'
P. David C. Kostoulas80'
82'V. Barco
O. Boscagli (Foul)89'
P. Gross4-3Goal90'
Costinha (Foul)90+1'

Referee: Michael Oliver, England

Match statistics

26%Possession74%
2.93Expected goals (xG)1.41
17Shots15
6Shots on target6
5Shots off target8
6Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box13
2Shots outside the box2
4Corners7
4Saves1
227Passes647
155Accurate passes567
68%Pass accuracy88%
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
-1.40Goals prevented-1.40
Chelsea · 3-4-2-1 · avg 7.0Brighton · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.5
Chelsea
268.2
26 Martinez
36.5
3 Fofana
▼68'
56.3
5 Lacroix
66.2
6 Colwill
▼72'
78.2
7 Neto
Goal▼68'
276.5
27 Gusto
457.3
45 Lavia
Goal▼68'
217.0
21 Hato
107.9
10 Palmer
Goal
178.0
17 Rogers
98.2
9 Pedro
GoalGoal
Brighton
15.3
1 Verbruggen
277.5
27 Wieffer
▼80'
446.7
44 Vuskovic
56.2
5 Dunk
245.7
24 Kadioglu
137.5
13 Gross
Goal
216.9
21 Boscagli
256.2
25 Gomez
357.3
35 Yalcouye
Goal▼74'
296.2
29 De Cuyper
196.3
19 Kostoulas
▼80'
Chelsea
Substitutes
3939M. Penders
2424R. James ▲68'for ▼ R. Lavia6.3
2929P. Chavarria ▲72'for ▼ L. Colwill6.5
3434J. Acheampong ▲68'for ▼ W. Fofana6.2
2525M. Caicedo ▲68'for ▼ P. Neto6.7
44V. Barco ▲82'for ▼ 6.3
1818D. Welbeck
1111J. Gittens
4141Estêvão
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Brighton
Substitutes
2323J. Steele
2020Costinha ▲80'for ▼ M. Wieffer6.3
66J. Hadjam
44P. Struijk
3333M. O'Riley
2222A. Cozier-Duberry
1212P. David ▲80'for ▼ C. Kostoulas6.5
4949N. Oriola
1515I. Osman ▲74'for ▼ M. Yalcouye6.7
Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
26E. MartínezGoalkeeper 8.2 900000 3816 203/30/004
7P. NetoMidfielder 8.2 681022 129 203/61/110
9J. PedroForward 8.2 901132 2314 2113/204/510
17M. RogersForward 8.0 900110 1613 414/120/220
10C. PalmerForward 7.9 901021 2315 223/70/010
45R. LaviaMidfielder 7.3 681011 1817 013/40/000
21J. HatoMidfielder 7.0 900100 1410 223/60/000
25M. CaicedoMidfielder 6.7 140000 22 000/00/000
3W. FofanaDefender 6.5 680000 1313 000/00/000
27M. GustoMidfielder 6.5 900000 126 013/61/100
29P. ChavarríaDefender 6.5 180000 44 011/10/000
5M. LacroixDefender 6.3 900010 2016 014/50/000
24R. JamesDefender 6.3 220000 64 000/00/000
4V. BarcoMidfielder 6.3 80010 00 000/20/010
6L. ColwillDefender 6.2 720000 2113 015/70/000
34J. AcheampongDefender 6.2 220000 53 011/30/100

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

42%
Chelsea
26%
Draw
32%
Brighton
Prediction: correct

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

50%
Chelsea
25%
Draw
25%
Brighton

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 3 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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