FC Lugano 3 – 2 FK Crvena Zvezda: result and prediction

Conference League · · AIL Arena
3 – 2
Full time

Match events

1st half1-1
25'Goal1-0A. Ajeti (R. Steffen)
T. Elsnik (M. Gashtarov)1-1Goal32'
V. Kostov (Unsportsmanlike conduct)33'
2nd half2-1
53'R. Steffen (Tripping)
55'L. Mai (Roughing)
63'E. Pihlstrom R. Steffen
63'K. Behrens A. Ajeti
M. Cham T. Handel64'
R. Krunic (M. Cham)1-2Goal67'
73'D. Moncada B. Karimov
K. Balov V. Lucic75'
M. Strika M. Ristic75'
79'B. D. Castro Espinosa D. Dos Santos
79'E. Alioski H. Delcroix
M. Bajo R. Krunic81'
M. Arnautovic B. Dieng81'
S. Gudelj (Roughing)82'
84'Goal2-2D. Moncada (Y. Cimignani)
M. Bajo88'
89'Goal3-2A. Grgic (penalty)
M. Gashtarov (Roughing)90+4'

Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany

Match statistics

40%Possession60%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.07
15Shots18
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target10
5Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box6
9Shots outside the box12
4Corners2
2Offsides0
3Saves2
348Passes525
299Accurate passes478
86%Pass accuracy91%
9Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0.65Goals prevented0.65
FC Lugano · 3-4-2-1 · avg 6.7FK Crvena Zvezda · 5-4-1 · avg 6.9
FC Lugano
166.2
16 Ballmoos
67.0
6 Papadopoulos
176.3
17 Mai
36.3
3 Delcroix
▼79'
26.7
2 Karimov
▼73'
256.6
25 Bislimi
86.7
8 Grgić
Goal
216.7
21 Cimignani
116.9
11 Steffen
▼63'
276.7
27 Santos
▼79'
97.3
9 Ajeti
Goal▼63'
FK Crvena Zvezda
17.2
1 Matheus
376.9
37 Lučić
▼75'
607.3
60 Gaštarov
455.9
45 Gudelj
37.2
3 Nakayama
236.5
23 Ristić
▼75'
217.3
21 Elšnik
Goal
338.0
33 Krunić
Goal▼81'
206.9
20 Händel
▼64'
226.7
22 Kostov
96.7
9 Dieng
▼81'
FC Lugano
Substitutes
2424Elias Pihlström ▲63'for ▼ R. Steffen6.3
9191Kevin Behrens ▲63'for ▼ A. Ajeti7.2
3030Dereck Moncada ▲73'Goalfor ▼ B. Karimov7.2
9999Diego Mina
2828Felix Gebhardt
44Damian Kelvin
77Ezgjan Alioski ▲79'for ▼ H. Delcroix6.7
2626Martim Marques
2222Beckham Castro ▲79'for ▼ D. Dos Santos6.5
1414Ahmed Kendouci
FK Crvena Zvezda
Substitutes
7070Muhammed-Cham Saračević ▲64'for ▼ T. Handel7.3
5050Savo Radanović
7777Ivan Guteša
3030Franklin Tebo
2727Matej Strika ▲75'for ▼ M. Ristic6.2
1313Miloš Veljković
5555Dimitrije Šarić
88Kristiyan Balov ▲75'for ▼ V. Lucic6.5
1919Ye-geon Kim
66Mahmudu Bajo ▲81'for ▼ R. Krunic
77Marko Arnautović ▲81'for ▼ B. Dieng

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
9A. AjetiForward 7.3 631022 64 012/60/000
91K. BehrensForward 7.2 240011 87 102/41/100
30D. MoncadaForward 7.2 141011 11 100/10/010
6A. PapadopoulosDefender 7.0 870000 3128 046/70/000
11R. SteffenForward 6.9 630100 149 102/51/130
2B. KarimovMidfielder 6.7 730010 1715 124/90/210
8A. GrgićMidfielder 6.7 870020 4035 036/101/100
21Y. CimignaniMidfielder 6.7 870110 2520 100/30/000
27D. Dos SantosForward 6.7 790010 1614 103/81/300
7E. AlioskiDefender 6.7 80000 11 011/10/000
25U. BislimiMidfielder 6.6 870000 5748 225/71/100
22B. CastroForward 6.5 80010 21 000/10/000
17L. Lukas MaiDefender 6.3 870000 5956 023/90/020
3H. DelcroixDefender 6.3 790000 3836 012/71/220
24E. PihlströmForward 6.3 240000 76 013/61/200
16D. von BallmoosGoalkeeper 6.2 870000 2618 000/00/003

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

28%
FC Lugano
26%
Draw
46%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Prediction: incorrect

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

34%
FC Lugano
27%
Draw
39%
FK Crvena Zvezda

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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