Iceland 1 – 1 Estonia: result and prediction

Nations League ·
Iceland IcelandFIFA #75
1 – 1
Full time
EstoniaFIFA #127 Estonia

Match events

1st half1-0
30'I. Thorvaldsson A. Gudmundsson
45'Goal1-0A. Guðjohnsen (H. Arnar Haraldsson)
2nd half0-1
K. Palumets (penalty missed)52'
K. Mets (Argument)54'
P. Kristal M. Ainsalu61'
M. Paskotsi (R. Peetson)1-1Goal64'
75'A. Sigurðsson J. Dagur Þórsteinsson
75'G. Sigurðsson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
A. Matthias Tamm k. mustmaa78'
R. Peetson (Foul)81'
84'S. Teitur Thórdarson (Foul)
84'L. Tomasson M. Ellertsson
85'K. Mani Ingason A. Guðjohnsen
M. Soomets M. Käit86'

Referee: Milos Milanovic

Match statistics

63%Possession37%
19Shots8
8Shots on target5
7Shots off target3
4Blocked shots0
13Shots inside the box5
6Shots outside the box3
7Corners3
3Offsides0
4Saves7
538Passes313
460Accurate passes218
13Fouls13
12Free kicks12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Iceland · 4-4-2 · avg 6.8Estonia · 5-3-2 · avg 6.4
Iceland
127.8
12 Valdimarsson
46.6
4 Pálsson
166.4
16 Þórðarson
36.9
3 Grétarsson
196.2
19 Ellertsson
▼84'
206.3
20 Þorsteinsson
▼75'
77.7
7 Haraldsson
87.1
8 Bergmann Jóhannesson
▼75'
116.2
11 Guðmundsson
▼30'
228.0
22 Guðjohnsen
Goal▼85'
96.8
9 Óskarsson
Estonia
17.6
1 Hein
66.6
6 Peetson
37.1
3 Paskotši
Goal
25.9
2 Kuusk
186.1
18 Mets
196.0
19 Schjønning-Larsen
105.8
10 Palumets
206.3
20 Poom
46.2
4 Käit
▼86'
116.7
11 Ainsalu
▼61'
96.3
9 Mustmaa
▼78'
Iceland
Substitutes
1818M. Anderson
1414B. Willumsson
66A. Baldursson
1313A. Einarsson
1515K. Ingason ▲85'for ▼ A. Guðjohnsen7.0
2323H. Magnússon
1717A. Gunnarsson
11R. Rúnarsson
2121A. Sigurðsson ▲75'for ▼ J. Dagur Þórsteinsson6.7
1010G. Sigurðsson ▲75'for ▼ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson6.7
22L. Tómasson ▲84'for ▼ M. Ellertsson6.5
55Í. Þorvaldsson ▲30'for ▼ A. Gudmundsson6.5
Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson
Estonia
Substitutes
2121M. Männilaan
1717M. Miller
77R. Saarma
1313J. Saliste
1515M. Skvortsov
88M. Soomets ▲86'for ▼ M. Käit6.2
55E. Tõugjas
2222K. Vallner
1616A. Tamm ▲78'for ▼ k. mustmaa6.4
1414P. Kristal ▲61'for ▼ M. Ainsalu6.4
1212M. Igonen
2323F. Liivak
Coach: J. Henn

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
22A. GuðjohnsenForward 8.0 851021 2516 205/110/120
12H. ValdimarssonGoalkeeper 7.8 900000 2321 001/10/004
7H. HaraldssonMidfielder 7.7 900111 7568 213/41/200
8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonMidfielder 7.1 750000 6455 400/00/000
15K. IngasonForward 7.0 50021 75 200/10/100
3D. GrétarssonDefender 6.9 900000 6754 0210/150/020
9O. ÓskarssonForward 6.8 900062 2218 103/91/130
10G. SigurðssonMidfielder 6.7 150010 2320 101/10/000
21A. SigurðssonMidfielder 6.7 150011 88 200/00/000
4V. PálssonDefender 6.6 900010 5346 003/60/010
5Í. ÞorvaldssonForward 6.5 600010 129 005/110/010
2L. TómassonDefender 6.5 60021 109 000/00/000
16S. ÞórðarsonDefender 6.4 900000 9486 123/50/020
20J. ÞorsteinssonMidfielder 6.3 750011 2420 213/51/300
11A. GuðmundssonMidfielder 6.2 300000 129 001/10/000
19M. EllertssonDefender 6.2 840010 1916 025/121/320

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

52%
Iceland
27%
Draw
21%
Estonia
Prediction: incorrect

Read our pre-match forecast →

Adjusted before kick-off. Original model forecast: 42% / 28% / 30%.

Market

74%
Iceland
17%
Draw
9%
Estonia

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 5 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

Your predictions2 votes before kickoff

100%
Iceland
0%
Draw
0%
Estonia
FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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