Italy 3 – 1 France: result and prediction

Nations League · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Italy ItalyFIFA #15
3 – 1
Full time
FranceFIFA #3 France

Match events

1st half1-1
M. Olise0-1Goal10'
J. Jacquet (Foul)13'
26'Goal1-1P. Esposito (N. Cambiaghi)
39'P. Esposito (Dissent)
2nd half2-0
60'S. Esposito (penalty missed)
62'A. Vergara S. Esposito
62'F. Dimarco N. Cambiaghi
63'Goal2-1D. Frattesi (F. Dimarco)
71'A. Bastoni (Dissent)
73'I. Doumbia D. Frattesi
75'Goal3-1P. Esposito (penalty)
S. Kumbedi Nseke M. Gusto76'
E. Kroupi B. Barcola77'
S. Mayulu D. Doue77'
A. Diouf A. Truffert77'
E. Camavinga R. Cherki82'
90+2'S. Ricci N. Barella
90+2'G. Scamacca P. Esposito
E. Kroupi (Foul)90+3'

Referee: Istvan Kovacs

Match statistics

35%Possession65%
2.26Expected goals (xG)1.56
11Shots18
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box10
1Shots outside the box8
4Corners3
1Offsides2
4Saves2
316Passes589
253Accurate passes541
10Fouls18
17Free kicks10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Italy · 4-3-3 · avg 6.7France · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.4
Italy
16.7
1 Donnarumma
26.1
2 Kayode
36.5
3 Scalvini
66.0
6 Bastoni
56.7
5 Calafiori
167.8
16 Frattesi
Goal▼73'
86.8
8 Tonali
187.2
18 Barella
▼90+2'
76.3
7 Esposito
▼62'
98.1
9 Esposito
GoalGoal▼90+2'
197.0
19 Cambiaghi
▼62'
France
165.7
16 Maignan
26.8
2 Gusto
▼76'
226.3
22 Jacquet
46.5
4 Upamecano
36.2
3 Truffert
▼77'
216.7
21 da Cunha
146.8
14 Rabiot
118.1
11 Olise
Goal
76.4
7 Cherki
▼82'
206.6
20 Doué
▼77'
126.4
12 Barcola
▼77'
Italy
Substitutes
1212M. Carnesecchi
1111F. Dimarco ▲62'for ▼ N. Cambiaghi6.6
1414M. Palestra
44S. Ricci ▲90+2'for ▼ N. Barella6.3
2323L. Koleosho
1717A. Romano
2020G. Scamacca ▲90+2'for ▼ P. Esposito6.5
2222D. Ghilardi
1010N. Fagioli
2121A. Vergara ▲62'for ▼ S. Esposito6.4
1313G. Vicario
1515I. Doumbia ▲73'for ▼ D. Frattesi6.4
Coach: R. Mancini
France
Substitutes
1313A. Diouf ▲77'for ▼ A. Truffert5.6
1818W. Zaïre-Emery
1515I. Konaté
99E. Kroupi ▲77'for ▼ B. Barcola6.1
55S. Kumbedi ▲76'for ▼ M. Gusto6.0
88Senny Mayulu ▲77'for ▼ D. Doue5.8
11G. Restes
2323R. Risser
1717L. Yoro
66E. Camavinga ▲82'for ▼ R. Cherki6.0
1919P. Pagis
Coach: Z. Zidane

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
9F. EspositoForward 8.1 892053 167 003/60/020
16D. FrattesiMidfielder 7.8 731021 1613 026/81/200
18N. BarellaMidfielder 7.2 890010 4039 435/90/000
19N. CambiaghiForward 7.0 620100 1716 104/61/210
8S. TonaliMidfielder 6.8 900000 2925 013/50/110
1G. DonnarummaGoalkeeper 6.7 900000 4024 000/00/004
5R. CalafioriDefender 6.7 900000 4137 023/51/200
11F. DimarcoDefender 6.6 280110 105 100/10/100
20G. ScamaccaForward 6.5 10000 00 000/00/000
3G. ScalviniDefender 6.5 900000 1916 012/41/110
21A. VergaraMidfielder 6.4 280000 53 036/70/000
15I. DoumbiaMidfielder 6.4 170000 22 012/40/020
7S. EspositoForward 6.3 620021 158 135/70/010
4S. RicciMidfielder 6.3 10000 00 001/10/000
2M. KayodeDefender 6.1 900000 129 003/51/210
6A. BastoniDefender 6.0 900000 5348 012/40/010

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

28%
Italy
27%
Draw
45%
France
Prediction: incorrect

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

22%
Italy
24%
Draw
54%
France

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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