Nottingham Forest 3 – 1 Manchester City: result and prediction
Match events
1st half2-0
6'
1-0J. Cunha
1-0J. Cunha18'2-0L. Delap (X. Schlager)
2-0L. Delap (X. Schlager)N. O'Reilly J. Gvardiol45'
M. Nunes M. Guehi45'
2nd half1-1
R. Cherki2-152'
52'64'J. Mcatee (Foul)
65'D. Ndoye J. Mcatee
65'L. Netz D. Muñoz
69'D. Ndoye (Foul)
73'3-1L. Delap (M. Gibbs-White)
3-1L. Delap (M. Gibbs-White)P. Foden E. Fernández78'
79'I. Sangaré R. Yates
87'I. Jesus L. Delap
90+4'L. Netz (Foul)
90+5'I. Jesus (Time Wasting)
Referee: Samuel Barrott
Match statistics
22%Possession78%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.59
11Shots12
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box10
4Shots outside the box2
3Corners7
2Offsides0
2Saves2
206Passes753
138Accurate passes666
13Fouls7
7Free kicks13
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Nottingham Forest · 3-4-2-1 · avg 6.6Manchester City · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.3
266.026 Sels
236.823 Jair
316.331 Milenković
56.65 Murillo
276.227 Muñoz
▼65'
226.122 Yates
▼79'
217.021 Schlager
36.73 Williams
246.524 McAtee
▼65'
107.310 Gibbs-White
198.719 Delap
▼87'
15.81 Donnarumma
456.645 Khusanov
36.23 Dias
66.76 Guéhi
▼45'
246.024 Gvardiol
▼45'
56.95 Anderson
176.417 Fernández
▼78'
76.27 Ndiaye
107.210 Cherki
115.611 Doku
96.49 Haaland
Nottingham ForestSubstitutes
1111Igor Jesus ▲87'for ▼ L. Delap6.4
1515A. Kalimuendo 
1212John 
22O. Diomande 
2525L. Netz ▲65'for ▼ D. Muñoz5.5
66I. Sangaré ▲79'for ▼ R. Yates6.4
77C. Hudson-Odoi 
1414D. Ndoye ▲65'for ▼ J. Mcatee6.3
99C. Wood Coach: O. Glasner
Manchester CitySubstitutes
4747P. Foden ▲78'for ▼ E. Fernández6.0
3232A. Bouaddi 
88M. Kovačić 
8282R. Lewis 
2727Matheus Nunes ▲45'for ▼ M. Guehi7.1
2222Vitor Nunes 
2828G. Rulli 
3737Allan 
3333N. O'Reilly ▲45'for ▼ J. Gvardiol5.7Coach: E. Maresca
Player statistics
| Player | Rtg | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | Pas | Acc | KP | Tkl | Duels | Drb | Fls | Sv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19L. DelapForward |
8.7 | 87 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4/12 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10M. Gibbs-WhiteMidfielder |
7.3 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6/12 | 2/4 | 2 | 0 |
| 10R. CherkiMidfielder |
7.2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 27M. NunesMidfielder |
7.1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21X. SchlagerMidfielder |
7.0 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 5/10 | 1/3 | 0 | 0 |
| 5E. AndersonMidfielder |
6.9 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 115 | 104 | 0 | 2 | 8/15 | 2/2 | 2 | 0 |
| 23JairDefender |
6.8 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3N. WilliamsMidfielder |
6.7 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4/10 | 0/0 | 2 | 0 |
| 6M. GuéhiDefender |
6.7 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5MurilloDefender |
6.6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 3 | 0 |
| 45A. KhusanovDefender |
6.6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 87 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24J. McAteeMidfielder |
6.5 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3/10 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9E. HaalandForward |
6.4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11I. JesusForward |
6.4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17E. FernándezMidfielder |
6.4 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 6/13 | 1/2 | 1 | 0 |
| 6I. SangaréMidfielder |
6.4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14D. NdoyeForward |
6.3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 31N. MilenkovićDefender |
6.3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27D. MuñozMidfielder |
6.2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 6/10 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 7I. NdiayeMidfielder |
6.2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 5/9 | 4/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 3R. DiasDefender |
6.2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22R. YatesMidfielder |
6.1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24J. GvardiolDefender |
6.0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26M. SelsGoalkeeper |
6.0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 |
| 47P. FodenMidfielder |
6.0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4/5 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1G. DonnarummaGoalkeeper |
5.8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 |
| 33N. O'ReillyDefender |
5.7 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11J. DokuMidfielder |
5.6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 4/12 | 3/8 | 0 | 0 |
| 25L. NetzDefender |
5.5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 1 | 0 |
Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves
Our prediction
22%
Nottingham Forest
28%
Draw
50%
Manchester City
Prediction: incorrect
Market
20%
Nottingham Forest
24%
Draw
56%
Manchester City
The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 4 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?