VfB Stuttgart 1 – 0 Werder Bremen: result and prediction
Match events
1st half1-0
7'
1-0M. Mittelstädt (G. Prömel)
1-0M. Mittelstädt (G. Prömel)N. Füllkrug (Foul)24'
O. Deman (Persistent Infringement)45'
2nd half0-0
M. Grüll (Foul)53'
55'F. Jeltsch L. Jaquez
64'N. Nartey B. El Khannouss
65'T. Tomás J. Leweling
J. Njinmah M. Grüll67'
I. San José Cantalejo S. Lynen67'
83'A. Karazor Y. Spalt
83'E. Demirović C. Führich
C. Itten E. Dinkci86'
Referee: Soren Storks
Match statistics
43%Possession57%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.29
13Shots23
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target10
3Blocked shots8
7Shots inside the box11
6Shots outside the box12
4Corners4
0Offsides2
5Saves4
450Passes600
362Accurate passes503
6Fouls8
8Free kicks6
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
VfB Stuttgart · 3-4-2-1 · avg 6.8Werder Bremen · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.6
417.641 Seimen
146.914 Jaquez
▼55'
247.024 Chabot
36.93 Hendriks
186.418 Leweling
▼65'
217.221 Prömel
476.347 Spalt
▼83'
78.27 Mittelstädt
116.811 El Khannouss
▼64'
106.410 Führich
▼83'
266.226 Undav
17.71 Hein
136.913 Arthur
57.15 Pieper
326.732 Friedl
26.62 Deman
446.544 Regeer
146.214 Lynen
▼67'
186.818 Dinkçi
▼86'
156.315 Reis
176.417 Grüll
▼67'
106.410 Füllkrug
VfB StuttgartSubstitutes
1616A. Karazor ▲83'for ▼ Y. Spalt6.6
2828N. Nartey ▲64'for ▼ B. El Khannouss6.6
1717D. Pejčinović 
22A. Al Dakhil 
2222L. Assignon 
11F. Bredlow 
99E. Demirović ▲83'for ▼ C. Führich6.5
2929Finn Jeltsch ▲55'for ▼ L. Jaquez6.5
88Tiago Tomás ▲65'for ▼ J. Leweling6.7Coach: S. Hoeneb
Werder BremenSubstitutes
1111J. Njinmah ▲67'for ▼ M. Grüll6.5
1919K. Quetant 
3030A. Schlager 
3333Mick Schmetgens 
2323Dariusz Stalmach 
44N. Stark 
33O. Wójcik 
2020Chuky San José ▲67'for ▼ S. Lynen6.3
2626C. Itten ▲86'for ▼ E. Dinkci6.1Coach: D. Thioune
Player statistics
| Player | Rtg | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | Pas | Acc | KP | Tkl | Duels | Drb | Fls | Sv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7M. MittelstädtMidfielder |
8.2 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 42 | 2 | 7 | 9/14 | 0/3 | 0 | 0 |
| 1K. HeinGoalkeeper |
7.7 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 |
| 41D. SeimenGoalkeeper |
7.6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 |
| 21G. PrömelMidfielder |
7.2 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 6/11 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5A. PieperDefender |
7.1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 70 | 0 | 4 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24J. ChabotDefender |
7.0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 9/18 | 0/0 | 3 | 0 |
| 3R. HendriksDefender |
6.9 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13ArthurDefender |
6.9 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 3/11 | 1/7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14L. JaquezDefender |
6.9 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11B. El KhannoussMidfielder |
6.8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18E. DinkçiMidfielder |
6.8 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32M. FriedlDefender |
6.7 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 79 | 0 | 1 | 5/10 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8T. TomásForward |
6.7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28N. NarteyMidfielder |
6.6 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16A. KarazorMidfielder |
6.6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2O. DemanDefender |
6.6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 3/7 | 0/1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11J. NjinmahForward |
6.5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 44Y. RegeerMidfielder |
6.5 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 29F. JeltschDefender |
6.5 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9E. DemirovićForward |
6.5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10C. FührichMidfielder |
6.4 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 5/11 | 3/7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18J. LewelingMidfielder |
6.4 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6/11 | 3/5 | 1 | 0 |
| 10N. FüllkrugForward |
6.4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 9/20 | 1/1 | 4 | 0 |
| 17M. GrüllMidfielder |
6.4 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 |
| 15L. ReisMidfielder |
6.3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 61 | 49 | 1 | 4 | 8/13 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 47Y. SpaltMidfielder |
6.3 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 3/7 | 0/2 | 1 | 0 |
| 20C. San JoséMidfielder |
6.3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14S. LynenMidfielder |
6.2 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26D. UndavForward |
6.2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26C. IttenForward |
6.1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 |
Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves
Our prediction
38%
VfB Stuttgart
27%
Draw
35%
Werder Bremen
Prediction: correct
Adjusted before kick-off. Original model forecast: 28% / 28% / 44%.
Market
57%
VfB Stuttgart
21%
Draw
22%
Werder Bremen
The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?