England 2 – 1 Croatia: result and prediction

Nations League · · Wembley Stadium
England EnglandFIFA #4
2 – 1
Full time
CroatiaFIFA #13 Croatia

Match events

1st half1-0
24'Goal1-0M. Rogers (J. Bellingham)
2nd half1-1
P. Sučić1-1Goal59'
I. Smolcic (Foul)63'
64'Goal2-1H. Kane (penalty)
A. Budimir I. Matanović70'
M. Pašalić P. Sučić70'
M. Pašalić I. Smolcic76'
L. Modrić J. Mišić76'
77'R. Ngumoha A. Gordon
77'J. Garner D. Rice
78'B. White T. Alexander-Arnold
L. Majer M. Kovačić90'

Referee: Morten Krogh

Match statistics

54%Possession46%
2.86Expected goals (xG)1.24
15Shots13
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target6
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box10
3Shots outside the box3
6Corners7
1Offsides1
4Saves1
557Passes468
496Accurate passes410
9Fouls9
9Free kicks9
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
England · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.9Croatia · 4-2-3-1 · avg 6.4
England
16.9
1 Pickford
26.7
2 Alexander-Arnold
▼78'
66.6
6 Quansah
57.2
5 Burn
37.0
3 Hall
86.8
8 Anderson
46.5
4 Rice
▼77'
178.2
17 Rogers
Goal
107.7
10 Bellingham
116.7
11 Gordon
▼77'
96.9
9 Kane
Goal
Croatia
15.8
1 Livaković
145.7
14 Smolčić
▼76'
26.5
2 Stanišić
36.7
3 Vušković
46.8
4 Gvardiol
225.9
22 Mišić
▼76'
86.6
8 Kovačić
▼90'
178.0
17 Sučić
Goal▼70'
167.2
16 Baturina
136.1
13 Vlašić
206.2
20 Matanović
▼70'
England
Substitutes
1313J. Trafford
1212B. White ▲78'for ▼ T. Alexander-Arnold6.3
1515J. Branthwaite
1919D. Calvert-Lewin
2121E. Eze
1818J. Garner ▲77'for ▼ D. Rice6.3
77M. Gibbs-White
1414J. Hill
2222Joshua King
2020R. Ngumoha ▲77'for ▼ A. Gordon6.4
2323J. Steele
1616J. Bellingham
Coach: T. Tuchel
Croatia
Substitutes
1111A. Budimir ▲70'for ▼ I. Matanović6.3
55D. Ćaleta-Car
66N. Galešić
1818Š. Hrgović
2323D. Kotarski
77L. Majer ▲90'for ▼ M. Kovačić6.0
1010L. Modrić ▲76'for ▼ J. Mišić6.4
1212I. Pandur
1515Mario Pasalic ▲70'for ▼ P. Sučić6.0
99D. Beljo
2121M. Šotiček
1919Marco Pasalic ▲76'for ▼ I. Smolcic6.3
Coach: S. Bilić

Player statistics

PlayerRtgMinGAShSoTPasAccKPTklDuelsDrbFlsSv
17M. RogersMidfielder 8.2 901021 4131 327/122/200
10J. BellinghamMidfielder 7.7 900121 5446 228/112/200
5D. BurnDefender 7.2 900030 6156 029/130/120
3L. HallDefender 7.0 900010 3635 314/130/110
9H. KaneForward 6.9 901022 2418 002/70/010
1J. PickfordGoalkeeper 6.9 900000 3929 000/10/104
8E. AndersonMidfielder 6.8 900010 7672 026/112/410
2T. Alexander-ArnoldDefender 6.7 780020 4742 035/81/200
11A. GordonMidfielder 6.7 770020 2824 104/43/300
6J. QuansahDefender 6.6 900000 7671 023/100/040
4D. RiceMidfielder 6.5 770000 5252 212/71/400
20R. NgumohaForward 6.4 130000 65 000/20/100
18J. GarnerMidfielder 6.3 130000 66 100/00/000
12B. WhiteDefender 6.3 120000 119 000/20/000

Rtg rating · Min minutes played · G goals · A assists · Sh shots · SoT shots on target · Pas passes · Acc accurate passes · KP key passes · Tkl tackles · Duels duels won / total · Drb successful dribbles / attempts · Fls fouls committed · Sv saves

Our prediction

63%
England
22%
Draw
15%
Croatia
Prediction: correct

Read our pre-match forecast →

Market

76%
England
15%
Draw
9%
Croatia

The market is what bookmakers expect: the average of their odds, converted to percentages with the bookmakers' margin removed. For this match 6 bookmakers were compared. Who are they?

FC Kickoff Football forecasts, scored in public. Our model against the betting market, match by match.

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